[Dailydave] Line Dancing.

Dave Aitel dave at immunityinc.com
Wed Mar 5 13:25:06 EST 2014


One thing I like about Crimea is that if you squint hard enough, you can
see the cyber battle and it's a battle of restraint.

To wit: a while back the Syrian Electronic Army tweeted about messing
with the SCADA systems for a power system. Doing this sort of thing
kills innocent people, and the US has drawn a line there that says "If
you go there, very bad things will happen to you, possibly we will just
let the Isrealis kill you one by one with magnetic bombs, but more
likely it will be something worse." (SEA members live in Tehran, not
Damascus). Nobody has come out in public and said that messing with
things that could potentially kill innocent people is "the line", but
it's there and all the teams know it.

In other words, while the US isn't going to roll tanks into the Crimea,
there is a weapon system that the US can deploy against Russia. Even
damaged by Snowden, the Russians are massively, catastrophically
outmatched at cyber and getting MORE outmatched over time, and they know
it. At some point Utah will come online and the Russians have nothing to
match it. And of course there is future payoffs from quantum computing
research, which, even if everyone has the same fundamentals will require
"hegemony-sized" levels of investment to implement. And everyone doesn't
have the same fundamentals, to put it shortly.

Keep in mind that Obama is, for better or worse, the cyber war
President. When he threatens your economy, when he says that "everything
is on the table", he doesn't just mean sanctions.

-dave
P.S. Sign up for INFILTRATE <http://infiltratecon.org>. Chat about cyber
war over an open bar filled with your peers.
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